Is anyone familiar with this term? I got into a heated argument with a friend recently. I was getting horrible draws in a tournament, and complaining to him about it. He told me to just wait for a hand, because I was sure to get one soon if I had been dealt so many bad ones in a row.
I was already upset, and annoying him I'm sure. And my debate over his strategy didn't help. I mentioned that he was falling prey to the gambler's fallacy. I don't think he knew what I meant, because he kept going on about pocket aces being dealt once every 240 hands or so.
As I tried to explain gambler's fallacy to him, he called me a dumb*** and knocked me from his IM list. I'll restore my friendship with him later, but I'm curious how many other people subscribe to the "Due" theory. (That is, when dealt bad hands for an extended amount of time, you are due for a good hand.)
If you've never heard of gambler's fallacy, I found a nice little website that explains it better than I can here. Here's the link:
http://www.nizkor.org/features/fallacie ... llacy.html